We simulated Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City 100,000 times. Queens Park Rangers won 41,039 of them (41%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Swansea City won 31.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations.
| Queens Park Rangers win | 41% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Swansea City win | 31.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.49 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| Queens Park Rangers score first | 49.5% |
| Swansea City score first | 43.2% |
| Queens Park Rangers clean sheet | 27.9% |
| Swansea City clean sheet | 22.9% |
Bolton Wanderers
Middlesbrough
1.2–2.0
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Sheffield United
Derby County
1.8–1.1
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Portsmouth
Millwall
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Charlton Athletic
Norwich City
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cardiff City
Birmingham City
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
West Ham United
Southampton
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Watford
2.3–0.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion
1.1–1.6
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420644045 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Queens Park Rangers are favourites. They win 41% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 31.9% for Swansea City. Including the draw, Queens Park Rangers avoid defeat 68.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.5% of simulations. Queens Park Rangers keep a clean sheet 27.9% of the time and Swansea City 22.9%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.49 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.29 for Swansea City. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.4% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
