We simulated Reading vs Barnsley 100,000 times. Reading won 65,030 of them (65%), the draw came up 19.3% of the time and Barnsley won 15.7%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 62% of simulations.
| Reading win | 65% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.3% |
| Barnsley win | 15.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.44 – 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.8% |
| Reading score first | 64.8% |
| Barnsley score first | 31.5% |
| Reading clean sheet | 32.5% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 9.2% |
Reading
Leyton Orient
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Leicester City
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Wigan Athletic
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Peterborough United
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Notts County
Stockport County
1.0–1.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646976 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Reading are favourites. They win 65% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.3% for the draw and 15.7% for Barnsley. Including the draw, Reading avoid defeat 84.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62% of simulations. Reading keep a clean sheet 32.5% of the time and Barnsley 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.58 goals: 2.44 for Reading and 1.13 for Barnsley. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.8% and over 3.5 goals 47.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
