We simulated Reading vs Leyton Orient 100,000 times. Reading won 58,682 of them (58.7%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Leyton Orient won 18.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Reading win is 2-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations.
| Reading win | 58.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Leyton Orient win | 18.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.95 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.2% |
| Reading score first | 64% |
| Leyton Orient score first | 30.2% |
| Reading clean sheet | 37.2% |
| Leyton Orient clean sheet | 14.6% |
Luton Town
Leicester City
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Wigan Athletic
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
1.6–1.1
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Reading
Barnsley
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Peterborough United
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Notts County
Stockport County
1.0–1.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646977 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Reading are favourites. They win 58.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 18.3% for Leyton Orient. Including the draw, Reading avoid defeat 81.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Reading win is 2-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations. Reading keep a clean sheet 37.2% of the time and Leyton Orient 14.6%.
The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.95 for Reading and 1.00 for Leyton Orient. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
