We simulated Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons 100,000 times. Stevenage won 47,367 of them (47.4%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Milton Keynes Dons won 26.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Stevenage win is 1-0 (10.1%). Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations.
| Stevenage win | 47.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 26.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.4% |
| Stevenage score first | 54.6% |
| Milton Keynes Dons score first | 37.5% |
| Stevenage clean sheet | 33.3% |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 21.1% |
Reading
Leyton Orient
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Leicester City
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Wigan Athletic
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Reading
Barnsley
2.4–1.1
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Peterborough United
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Notts County
Stockport County
1.0–1.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646974 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Stevenage are favourites. They win 47.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 26.2% for Milton Keynes Dons. Including the draw, Stevenage avoid defeat 73.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win is 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.4% of simulations. Stevenage keep a clean sheet 33.3% of the time and Milton Keynes Dons 21.1%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.58 for Stevenage and 1.11 for Milton Keynes Dons. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.1% and over 3.5 goals 28.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
