We simulated TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique Lyonnais 100,000 times. TSG Hoffenheim won 44,749 of them (44.8%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest TSG Hoffenheim win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 66% of simulations.
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 44.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Olympique Lyonnais win | 31.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.6% |
| TSG Hoffenheim score first | 48.7% |
| Olympique Lyonnais score first | 47.2% |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet | 16.2% |
Ararat-Armenia
AZ Alkmaar
1.1–2.0
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Sunderland
1.1–1.8
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Ferencvárosi
Torreense
2.4–0.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Rennes
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sturm Graz
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
OFI
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0.9–2.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
NEC Nijmegen
2.3–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684654 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
TSG Hoffenheim are favourites. They win 44.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 31.7% for Olympique Lyonnais. Including the draw, TSG Hoffenheim avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest TSG Hoffenheim win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66% of simulations. TSG Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.38 goals: 1.85 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.53 for Olympique Lyonnais. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.3% and over 3.5 goals 43.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
