We simulated AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town 100,000 times. Mansfield Town won 41,118 of them (41.1%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and AFC Wimbledon won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Mansfield Town win is 0-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations.
| AFC Wimbledon win | 31.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Mansfield Town win | 41.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 53.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.5% |
| AFC Wimbledon score first | 44.4% |
| Mansfield Town score first | 47.1% |
| AFC Wimbledon clean sheet | 24.3% |
| Mansfield Town clean sheet | 30% |
Doncaster Rovers
Stockport County
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Burton Albion
Bradford City
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Leicester City
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Peterborough United
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Plymouth Argyle
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
1.6–1.0
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Barnsley
2.3–1.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646981 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mansfield Town are favourites. They win 41.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 31.2% for AFC Wimbledon. Including the draw, Mansfield Town avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.3%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win is 0-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.9% of simulations. AFC Wimbledon keep a clean sheet 24.3% of the time and Mansfield Town 30%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.22 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.43 for Mansfield Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.2% and over 3.5 goals 27.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
