We simulated Luton Town vs Barnsley 100,000 times. Luton Town won 62,186 of them (62.2%), the draw came up 19.8% of the time and Barnsley won 18%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.5%), and both teams score in 60.8% of simulations.
| Luton Town win | 62.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.8% |
| Barnsley win | 18% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.27 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.2% |
| Luton Town score first | 59.2% |
| Barnsley score first | 37.1% |
| Luton Town clean sheet | 32.3% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 10.7% |
Doncaster Rovers
Stockport County
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Burton Albion
Bradford City
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Leicester City
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Peterborough United
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Plymouth Argyle
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
1.6–1.0
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647281 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Luton Town are favourites. They win 62.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.8% for the draw and 18% for Barnsley. Including the draw, Luton Town avoid defeat 82% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations. Luton Town keep a clean sheet 32.3% of the time and Barnsley 10.7%.
The simulations average 3.41 goals: 2.27 for Luton Town and 1.14 for Barnsley. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.8% and over 3.5 goals 44.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
