We simulated Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic 100,000 times. Oxford United won 50,171 of them (50.2%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Wigan Athletic won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (10.7%). Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations.
| Oxford United win | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Wigan Athletic win | 22.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.61 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.7% |
| Oxford United score first | 59.3% |
| Wigan Athletic score first | 31.6% |
| Oxford United clean sheet | 37% |
| Wigan Athletic clean sheet | 20.4% |
Doncaster Rovers
Stockport County
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Burton Albion
Bradford City
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Leicester City
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Peterborough United
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Plymouth Argyle
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Barnsley
2.3–1.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647263 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Oxford United are favourites. They win 50.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 22.6% for Wigan Athletic. Including the draw, Oxford United avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (10.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations. Oxford United keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Wigan Athletic 20.4%.
The simulations average 2.61 goals: 1.61 for Oxford United and 1.00 for Wigan Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.3% and over 3.5 goals 26.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
