We simulated Burton Albion vs Bradford City 100,000 times. Bradford City won 45,374 of them (45.4%), the draw came up 28.1% of the time and Burton Albion won 26.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.2%, while the likeliest Bradford City win is 0-1 (11.2%). Both teams score in 49.8% of simulations.
| Burton Albion win | 26.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.1% |
| Bradford City win | 45.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 49.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Burton Albion score first | 40.8% |
| Bradford City score first | 49.4% |
| Burton Albion clean sheet | 24% |
| Bradford City clean sheet | 35.6% |
Doncaster Rovers
Stockport County
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Leicester City
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Peterborough United
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Plymouth Argyle
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
1.6–1.0
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Barnsley
2.3–1.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646979 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bradford City are favourites. They win 45.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.1% for the draw and 26.6% for Burton Albion. Including the draw, Bradford City avoid defeat 73.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.2%) and 0-0 (9.4%). The likeliest Bradford City win is 0-1 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.8% of simulations. Burton Albion keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Bradford City 35.6%.
The simulations average 2.48 goals: 1.04 for Burton Albion and 1.44 for Bradford City. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.1% and over 3.5 goals 24%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
