We simulated Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County 100,000 times. Stockport County won 49,943 of them (49.9%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Doncaster Rovers won 25.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Stockport County win is 0-1 (10.9%). Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations.
| Doncaster Rovers win | 25.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Stockport County win | 49.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.09 – 1.63 |
| Both teams to score | 52.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Doncaster Rovers score first | 38.2% |
| Stockport County score first | 55.1% |
| Doncaster Rovers clean sheet | 20% |
| Stockport County clean sheet | 34.1% |
Burton Albion
Bradford City
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Leicester City
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Peterborough United
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Stevenage
Plymouth Argyle
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
1.6–1.0
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Barnsley
2.3–1.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646978 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Stockport County are favourites. They win 49.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 25.6% for Doncaster Rovers. Including the draw, Stockport County avoid defeat 74.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest Stockport County win is 0-1 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.7% of simulations. Doncaster Rovers keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Stockport County 34.1%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 1.09 for Doncaster Rovers and 1.63 for Stockport County. Over 1.5 goals lands 75% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.8% and over 3.5 goals 29%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
