We simulated Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle 100,000 times. Stevenage won 36,859 of them (36.9%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Plymouth Argyle won 35.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Stevenage win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
| Stevenage win | 36.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Plymouth Argyle win | 35.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.43 – 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.7% |
| Stevenage score first | 49.4% |
| Plymouth Argyle score first | 43.8% |
| Stevenage clean sheet | 24.8% |
| Plymouth Argyle clean sheet | 24.3% |
Doncaster Rovers
Stockport County
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Burton Albion
Bradford City
1.0–1.4
xG
45%
Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon
Mansfield Town
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Cambridge United
Wycombe Wanderers
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Bromley
Leicester City
1.1–2.1
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Huddersfield Town
Peterborough United
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
1.6–1.0
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Luton Town
Barnsley
2.3–1.1
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647192 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Stevenage are favourites. They win 36.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 35.9% for Plymouth Argyle. Including the draw, Stevenage avoid defeat 64.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58% of simulations. Stevenage keep a clean sheet 24.8% of the time and Plymouth Argyle 24.3%.
The simulations average 2.84 goals: 1.43 for Stevenage and 1.41 for Plymouth Argyle. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.7% and over 3.5 goals 31.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
