We simulated América Mineiro vs Fortaleza 100,000 times. Fortaleza won 46,941 of them (46.9%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and América Mineiro won 24.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Fortaleza win is 0-1 (12.3%). Both teams score in 47.1% of simulations.
| América Mineiro win | 24.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Fortaleza win | 46.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 0.95 – 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 47.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.8% |
| América Mineiro score first | 39.5% |
| Fortaleza score first | 50.2% |
| América Mineiro clean sheet | 24.5% |
| Fortaleza clean sheet | 38.9% |
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Athletic Club
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Londrina
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Botafogo SP
1.5–0.9
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
1.4–0.8
xG
38%
Over 2.5
CRB
Atlético GO
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Criciúma
1.3–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534072 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fortaleza are favourites. They win 46.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 24.4% for América Mineiro. Including the draw, Fortaleza avoid defeat 75.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (12.3%) and 0-0 (10.5%). The likeliest Fortaleza win is 0-1 (12.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.1% of simulations. América Mineiro keep a clean sheet 24.5% of the time and Fortaleza 38.9%.
The simulations average 2.38 goals: 0.95 for América Mineiro and 1.42 for Fortaleza. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 42.3% and over 3.5 goals 21.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
