We simulated Goiás vs Athletic Club 100,000 times. Goiás won 49,794 of them (49.8%), the draw came up 28.2% of the time and Athletic Club won 22.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.7%), and both teams score in 44.4% of simulations.
| Goiás win | 49.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.2% |
| Athletic Club win | 22.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 44.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.3% |
| Goiás score first | 57.2% |
| Athletic Club score first | 32.2% |
| Goiás clean sheet | 42.4% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 24.1% |
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Londrina
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Botafogo SP
1.5–0.9
xG
44%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Fortaleza
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
1.4–0.8
xG
38%
Over 2.5
CRB
Atlético GO
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Criciúma
1.3–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534156 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Goiás are favourites. They win 49.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.2% for the draw and 22.1% for Athletic Club. Including the draw, Goiás avoid defeat 78% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 44.4% of simulations. Goiás keep a clean sheet 42.4% of the time and Athletic Club 24.1%.
The simulations average 2.30 goals: 1.44 for Goiás and 0.86 for Athletic Club. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.4% and over 3.5 goals 20.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
