We simulated Sport Recife vs São Bernardo 100,000 times. Sport Recife won 51,734 of them (51.7%), the draw came up 25.7% of the time and São Bernardo won 22.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Sport Recife win is 1-0 (11.1%). Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations.
| Sport Recife win | 51.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.7% |
| São Bernardo win | 22.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% |
| Sport Recife score first | 59.3% |
| São Bernardo score first | 33.1% |
| Sport Recife clean sheet | 36.9% |
| São Bernardo clean sheet | 19.6% |
Goiás
Athletic Club
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Londrina
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Botafogo SP
1.5–0.9
xG
44%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Fortaleza
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
1.4–0.8
xG
38%
Over 2.5
CRB
Atlético GO
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Criciúma
1.3–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534148 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sport Recife are favourites. They win 51.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.7% for the draw and 22.6% for São Bernardo. Including the draw, Sport Recife avoid defeat 77.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest Sport Recife win is 1-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.3% of simulations. Sport Recife keep a clean sheet 36.9% of the time and São Bernardo 19.6%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.65 for Sport Recife and 1.00 for São Bernardo. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
