We simulated Ceará vs Criciúma 100,000 times. Ceará won 43,133 of them (43.1%), the draw came up 30.1% of the time and Criciúma won 26.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14%, while the likeliest Ceará win is 1-0 (11.5%). Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations.
| Ceará win | 43.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.1% |
| Criciúma win | 26.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14%) |
| Expected goals | 1.34 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.2% |
| Ceará score first | 45.9% |
| Criciúma score first | 42.7% |
| Ceará clean sheet | 37% |
| Criciúma clean sheet | 26.5% |
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Athletic Club
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Londrina
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Botafogo SP
1.5–0.9
xG
44%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Fortaleza
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
1.4–0.8
xG
38%
Over 2.5
CRB
Atlético GO
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534153 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ceará are favourites. They win 43.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.1% for the draw and 26.8% for Criciúma. Including the draw, Ceará avoid defeat 73.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.5%) and 0-0 (11.1%). The likeliest Ceará win is 1-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.7% of simulations. Ceará keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Criciúma 26.5%.
The simulations average 2.35 goals: 1.34 for Ceará and 1.00 for Criciúma. Over 1.5 goals lands 69% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.6% and over 3.5 goals 21.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
