We simulated Ponte Preta vs Juventude 100,000 times. Juventude won 70,080 of them (70.1%), the draw came up 19.4% of the time and Ponte Preta won 10.5%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15.4%), and both teams score in 38% of simulations.
| Ponte Preta win | 10.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.4% |
| Juventude win | 70.1% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (15.4%) |
| Expected goals | 0.59 – 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.8% |
| Ponte Preta score first | 22.4% |
| Juventude score first | 69.7% |
| Ponte Preta clean sheet | 14.3% |
| Juventude clean sheet | 55.5% |
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Athletic Club
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Londrina
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Botafogo SP
1.5–0.9
xG
44%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Fortaleza
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
1.4–0.8
xG
38%
Over 2.5
CRB
Atlético GO
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Criciúma
1.3–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534073 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventude are favourites. They win 70.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.4% for the draw and 10.5% for Ponte Preta. Including the draw, Juventude avoid defeat 89.5% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 15.4% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (14.8%) and 0-3 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38% of simulations. Ponte Preta keep a clean sheet 14.3% of the time and Juventude 55.5%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 0.59 for Ponte Preta and 1.98 for Juventude. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.2% and over 3.5 goals 25.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
