We simulated Vila Nova vs Cuiabá 100,000 times. Vila Nova won 48,290 of them (48.3%), the draw came up 29.9% of the time and Cuiabá won 21.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and both teams score in 42.9% of simulations.
| Vila Nova win | 48.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.9% |
| Cuiabá win | 21.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (14%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 42.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.3% |
| Vila Nova score first | 56.4% |
| Cuiabá score first | 31.2% |
| Vila Nova clean sheet | 43.8% |
| Cuiabá clean sheet | 25.8% |
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
1.7–1.0
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Goiás
Athletic Club
1.4–0.9
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Juventude
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Londrina
1.4–0.9
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Botafogo SP
1.5–0.9
xG
44%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Fortaleza
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
CRB
Atlético GO
Open to simulate
Ceará
Criciúma
1.3–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534078 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vila Nova are favourites. They win 48.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.9% for the draw and 21.8% for Cuiabá. Including the draw, Vila Nova avoid defeat 78.2% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 14% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (12.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 42.9% of simulations. Vila Nova keep a clean sheet 43.8% of the time and Cuiabá 25.8%.
The simulations average 2.21 goals: 1.37 for Vila Nova and 0.83 for Cuiabá. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 37.8% and over 3.5 goals 18.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
