We simulated Barnsley vs Cambridge United 100,000 times. Cambridge United won 39,736 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Barnsley won 35.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Cambridge United win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations.
| Barnsley win | 35.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Cambridge United win | 39.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.47 – 1.57 |
| Both teams to score | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.2% |
| Barnsley score first | 48.2% |
| Cambridge United score first | 46.8% |
| Barnsley clean sheet | 21.2% |
| Cambridge United clean sheet | 23.3% |
Mansfield Town
Oxford United
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Peterborough United
Burton Albion
1.8–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Luton Town
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday
AFC Wimbledon
1.9–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
Huddersfield Town
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Wycombe Wanderers
Notts County
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Leyton Orient
Blackpool
1.5–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Doncaster Rovers
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646993 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cambridge United are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 35.5% for Barnsley. Including the draw, Cambridge United avoid defeat 64.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.8% of simulations. Barnsley keep a clean sheet 21.2% of the time and Cambridge United 23.3%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.47 for Barnsley and 1.57 for Cambridge United. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.4% and over 3.5 goals 36.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
