We simulated Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon 100,000 times. Sheffield Wednesday won 57,408 of them (57.4%), the draw came up 22.6% of the time and AFC Wimbledon won 20%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
| Sheffield Wednesday win | 57.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.6% |
| AFC Wimbledon win | 20% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Sheffield Wednesday score first | 60.7% |
| AFC Wimbledon score first | 33.9% |
| Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet | 35.7% |
| AFC Wimbledon clean sheet | 15.1% |
Mansfield Town
Oxford United
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Peterborough United
Burton Albion
1.8–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Luton Town
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Barnsley
Cambridge United
1.5–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
Huddersfield Town
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Wycombe Wanderers
Notts County
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Leyton Orient
Blackpool
1.5–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Leicester City
Doncaster Rovers
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646989 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sheffield Wednesday are favourites. They win 57.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.6% for the draw and 20% for AFC Wimbledon. Including the draw, Sheffield Wednesday avoid defeat 80% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55% of simulations. Sheffield Wednesday keep a clean sheet 35.7% of the time and AFC Wimbledon 15.1%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 1.92 for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.04 for AFC Wimbledon. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
