We simulated Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés 100,000 times. Celta de Vigo won 49,244 of them (49.2%), the draw came up 27.7% of the time and Deportivo Alavés won 23%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13%, while the likeliest Celta de Vigo win is 1-0 (12.1%). Both teams score in 48% of simulations.
| Celta de Vigo win | 49.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Deportivo Alavés win | 23% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.3% |
| Celta de Vigo score first | 53.7% |
| Deportivo Alavés score first | 36.7% |
| Celta de Vigo clean sheet | 39.1% |
| Deportivo Alavés clean sheet | 22.6% |
Deportivo A Coruña
Levante
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Atlético de Madrid
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Elche
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
FC Barcelona
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Athletic Club
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Racing Santander
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Málaga
Real Sociedad
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2.6–0.8
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654601 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Celta de Vigo are favourites. They win 49.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.7% for the draw and 23% for Deportivo Alavés. Including the draw, Celta de Vigo avoid defeat 77% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.1%) and 0-0 (9.7%). The likeliest Celta de Vigo win is 1-0 (12.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48% of simulations. Celta de Vigo keep a clean sheet 39.1% of the time and Deportivo Alavés 22.6%.
The simulations average 2.45 goals: 1.50 for Celta de Vigo and 0.95 for Deportivo Alavés. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.2% and over 3.5 goals 23.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
