We simulated Real Madrid vs Sevilla 100,000 times. Real Madrid won 75,114 of them (75.1%), the draw came up 15.2% of the time and Sevilla won 9.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and both teams score in 51.4% of simulations.
| Real Madrid win | 75.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.2% |
| Sevilla win | 9.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 2.60 – 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.5% |
| Real Madrid score first | 77.1% |
| Sevilla score first | 19.5% |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 44.3% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 7.8% |
Deportivo A Coruña
Levante
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Atlético de Madrid
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Elche
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
FC Barcelona
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Athletic Club
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Racing Santander
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Deportivo Alavés
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Málaga
Real Sociedad
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654583 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Real Madrid are favourites. They win 75.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.2% for the draw and 9.7% for Sevilla. Including the draw, Real Madrid avoid defeat 90.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.4% of simulations. Real Madrid keep a clean sheet 44.3% of the time and Sevilla 7.8%.
The simulations average 3.42 goals: 2.60 for Real Madrid and 0.82 for Sevilla. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66% and over 3.5 goals 44.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
