We simulated Villarreal vs Elche 100,000 times. Villarreal won 62,476 of them (62.5%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and Elche won 17.3%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Villarreal win | 62.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Elche win | 17.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.21 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.7% |
| Villarreal score first | 67% |
| Elche score first | 29.1% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 34.4% |
| Elche clean sheet | 11.4% |
Deportivo A Coruña
Levante
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Atlético de Madrid
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
FC Barcelona
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Athletic Club
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Racing Santander
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Deportivo Alavés
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Málaga
Real Sociedad
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2.6–0.8
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654556 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Villarreal are favourites. They win 62.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 17.3% for Elche. Including the draw, Villarreal avoid defeat 82.7% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Villarreal keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and Elche 11.4%.
The simulations average 3.29 goals: 2.21 for Villarreal and 1.08 for Elche. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
