We simulated Celta de Vigo vs Juventus 100,000 times. Juventus won 42,560 of them (42.6%), the draw came up 28.9% of the time and Celta de Vigo won 28.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Juventus win is 0-1 (11.2%). Both teams score in 49% of simulations.
| Celta de Vigo win | 28.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.9% |
| Juventus win | 42.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Celta de Vigo score first | 40.2% |
| Juventus score first | 49.9% |
| Celta de Vigo clean sheet | 26.1% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 34.9% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.4–0.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684731 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Juventus are favourites. They win 42.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.9% for the draw and 28.6% for Celta de Vigo. Including the draw, Juventus avoid defeat 71.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (11.2%) and 0-0 (10%). The likeliest Juventus win is 0-1 (11.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49% of simulations. Celta de Vigo keep a clean sheet 26.1% of the time and Juventus 34.9%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 1.06 for Celta de Vigo and 1.36 for Juventus. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.5% and over 3.5 goals 22.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
