We simulated AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva 100,000 times. AZ Alkmaar won 71,958 of them (72%), the draw came up 16.8% of the time and Hapoel Be'er Sheva won 11.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 50.9% of simulations.
| AZ Alkmaar win | 72% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.8% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva win | 11.3% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.41 – 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 50.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.6% |
| AZ Alkmaar score first | 72.2% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva score first | 23.7% |
| AZ Alkmaar clean sheet | 43.9% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva clean sheet | 9.4% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.4–0.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684637 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AZ Alkmaar are favourites. They win 72% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.8% for the draw and 11.3% for Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Including the draw, AZ Alkmaar avoid defeat 88.7% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.9% of simulations. AZ Alkmaar keep a clean sheet 43.9% of the time and Hapoel Be'er Sheva 9.4%.
The simulations average 3.24 goals: 2.41 for AZ Alkmaar and 0.83 for Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.4% and over 3.5 goals 40.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
