We simulated Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm 100,000 times. Sparta Praha won 70,666 of them (70.7%), the draw came up 16.9% of the time and Lillestrøm won 12.4%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.5%), and both teams score in 53.7% of simulations.
| Sparta Praha win | 70.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.9% |
| Lillestrøm win | 12.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 0.90 |
| Both teams to score | 53.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.6% |
| Sparta Praha score first | 73.2% |
| Lillestrøm score first | 22.9% |
| Sparta Praha clean sheet | 40.8% |
| Lillestrøm clean sheet | 9.2% |
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684621 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sparta Praha are favourites. They win 70.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.9% for the draw and 12.4% for Lillestrøm. Including the draw, Sparta Praha avoid defeat 87.6% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.7% of simulations. Sparta Praha keep a clean sheet 40.8% of the time and Lillestrøm 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.33 goals: 2.43 for Sparta Praha and 0.90 for Lillestrøm. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.3% and over 3.5 goals 42.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
