We simulated Salzburg vs AC Milan 100,000 times. AC Milan won 50,525 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Salzburg won 25.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 58.9% of simulations.
| Salzburg win | 25.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| AC Milan win | 50.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.22 – 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 58.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Salzburg score first | 34.7% |
| AC Milan score first | 59.7% |
| Salzburg clean sheet | 16.8% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 29.8% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.4–0.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684705 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AC Milan are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 25.5% for Salzburg. Including the draw, AC Milan avoid defeat 74.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.9% of simulations. Salzburg keep a clean sheet 16.8% of the time and AC Milan 29.8%.
The simulations average 3.03 goals: 1.22 for Salzburg and 1.81 for AC Milan. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.2% and over 3.5 goals 36%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
