We simulated Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad 100,000 times. Union Saint-Gilloise won 44,571 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Real Sociedad won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Union Saint-Gilloise win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations.
| Union Saint-Gilloise win | 44.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Real Sociedad win | 31.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.37 |
| Both teams to score | 60.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.2% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise score first | 55.2% |
| Real Sociedad score first | 39.6% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise clean sheet | 25.9% |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 19.1% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.4–0.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
1.7–1.2
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684661 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Union Saint-Gilloise are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 31.2% for Real Sociedad. Including the draw, Union Saint-Gilloise avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Union Saint-Gilloise win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.2% of simulations. Union Saint-Gilloise keep a clean sheet 25.9% of the time and Real Sociedad 19.1%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.68 for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.37 for Real Sociedad. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.3% and over 3.5 goals 36.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
