We simulated Fluminense vs Coritiba 100,000 times. Fluminense won 66,285 of them (66.3%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and Coritiba won 12.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (12.2%), and both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| Fluminense win | 66.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% |
| Coritiba win | 12.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.08 – 0.78 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Fluminense score first | 68.6% |
| Coritiba score first | 24.7% |
| Fluminense clean sheet | 45.9% |
| Coritiba clean sheet | 13% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493607 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fluminense are favourites. They win 66.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 12.5% for Coritiba. Including the draw, Fluminense avoid defeat 87.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.2%) and 1-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Fluminense keep a clean sheet 45.9% of the time and Coritiba 13%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 2.08 for Fluminense and 0.78 for Coritiba. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
