We simulated Santos vs Flamengo 100,000 times. Flamengo won 46,584 of them (46.6%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Santos won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 53.1% of simulations.
| Santos win | 26.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Flamengo win | 46.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 53.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% |
| Santos score first | 36.3% |
| Flamengo score first | 55.6% |
| Santos clean sheet | 21.6% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 33.5% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Fluminense
Coritiba
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493608 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Flamengo are favourites. They win 46.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 26.3% for Santos. Including the draw, Flamengo avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.1% of simulations. Santos keep a clean sheet 21.6% of the time and Flamengo 33.5%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.10 for Santos and 1.55 for Flamengo. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
