We simulated Internacional vs Corinthians 100,000 times. Internacional won 45,127 of them (45.1%), the draw came up 29% of the time and Corinthians won 25.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Internacional win is 1-0 (11.5%). Both teams score in 48.7% of simulations.
| Internacional win | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29% |
| Corinthians win | 25.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 48.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.7% |
| Internacional score first | 51.1% |
| Corinthians score first | 38.3% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 36.8% |
| Corinthians clean sheet | 24.7% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Fluminense
Coritiba
2.1–0.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493606 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Internacional are favourites. They win 45.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29% for the draw and 25.9% for Corinthians. Including the draw, Internacional avoid defeat 74.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.5%) and 0-0 (10.2%). The likeliest Internacional win is 1-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.7% of simulations. Internacional keep a clean sheet 36.8% of the time and Corinthians 24.7%.
The simulations average 2.42 goals: 1.41 for Internacional and 1.01 for Corinthians. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.5% and over 3.5 goals 22.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
