We simulated Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano 100,000 times. Getafe won 37,688 of them (37.7%), the draw came up 31.7% of the time and Rayo Vallecano won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.5%, while the likeliest Getafe win is 1-0 (11.6%). Both teams score in 45.5% of simulations.
| Getafe win | 37.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.7% |
| Rayo Vallecano win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.17 – 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 45.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.3% |
| Getafe score first | 45.9% |
| Rayo Vallecano score first | 41.6% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 35.9% |
| Rayo Vallecano clean sheet | 31.2% |
Deportivo A Coruña
Levante
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Espanyol
Atlético de Madrid
1.1–1.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Elche
2.2–1.1
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Real Betis
FC Barcelona
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Valencia
Athletic Club
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Osasuna
Racing Santander
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo
Deportivo Alavés
1.5–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Málaga
Real Sociedad
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420654562 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Getafe are favourites. They win 37.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.7% for the draw and 30.6% for Rayo Vallecano. Including the draw, Getafe avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (12.6%) and 1-0 (11.6%). The likeliest Getafe win is 1-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.5% of simulations. Getafe keep a clean sheet 35.9% of the time and Rayo Vallecano 31.2%.
The simulations average 2.21 goals: 1.17 for Getafe and 1.03 for Rayo Vallecano. Over 1.5 goals lands 65.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 37.9% and over 3.5 goals 18.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
