We simulated Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais 100,000 times. Lens won 38,165 of them (38.2%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais won 35.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12%, while the likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 63.4% of simulations.
| Lens win | 38.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Olympique Lyonnais win | 35.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 63.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| Lens score first | 50.2% |
| Olympique Lyonnais score first | 43.5% |
| Lens clean sheet | 22% |
| Olympique Lyonnais clean sheet | 20.6% |
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monaco
Toulouse
2.0–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans
3.4–0.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Brest
Angers SCO
1.6–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Paris
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Nice
Strasbourg
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Auxerre
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660812 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lens are favourites. They win 38.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 35.4% for Olympique Lyonnais. Including the draw, Lens avoid defeat 64.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.4% of simulations. Lens keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Olympique Lyonnais 20.6%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 1.60 for Lens and 1.54 for Olympique Lyonnais. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
