We simulated Lorient vs Paris 100,000 times. Paris won 38,724 of them (38.7%), the draw came up 28.8% of the time and Lorient won 32.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.6%, while the likeliest Paris win is 0-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations.
| Lorient win | 32.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.8% |
| Paris win | 38.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.25 – 1.39 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.4% |
| Lorient score first | 40.7% |
| Paris score first | 50.3% |
| Lorient clean sheet | 25.4% |
| Paris clean sheet | 29% |
Lens
Olympique Lyonnais
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monaco
Toulouse
2.0–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans
3.4–0.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Brest
Angers SCO
1.6–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Nice
Strasbourg
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Auxerre
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660813 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris are favourites. They win 38.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.8% for the draw and 32.5% for Lorient. Including the draw, Paris avoid defeat 67.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Paris win is 0-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations. Lorient keep a clean sheet 25.4% of the time and Paris 29%.
The simulations average 2.64 goals: 1.25 for Lorient and 1.39 for Paris. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49% and over 3.5 goals 27.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
