We simulated Rennes vs Auxerre 100,000 times. Rennes won 62,815 of them (62.8%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Auxerre won 16.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.6%), and both teams score in 57.7% of simulations.
| Rennes win | 62.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Auxerre win | 16.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.20 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 57.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.8% |
| Rennes score first | 69.8% |
| Auxerre score first | 25.6% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 35.5% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 11.5% |
Lens
Olympique Lyonnais
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monaco
Toulouse
2.0–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans
3.4–0.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Brest
Angers SCO
1.6–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Paris
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Nice
Strasbourg
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660888 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rennes are favourites. They win 62.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 16.6% for Auxerre. Including the draw, Rennes avoid defeat 83.4% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.7% of simulations. Rennes keep a clean sheet 35.5% of the time and Auxerre 11.5%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.20 for Rennes and 1.05 for Auxerre. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.7% and over 3.5 goals 40.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
