We simulated Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 88,279 of them (88.3%), the draw came up 7.9% of the time and Le Mans won 3.8%. The most likely score is 3-0 (11.8%), and both teams score in 43.1% of simulations.
| Paris Saint Germain win | 88.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 7.9% |
| Le Mans win | 3.8% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 3.39 – 0.60 |
| Both teams to score | 43.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| Paris Saint Germain score first | 81.2% |
| Le Mans score first | 17% |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 55.1% |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 3.7% |
Lens
Olympique Lyonnais
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monaco
Toulouse
2.0–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Brest
Angers SCO
1.6–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Paris
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Nice
Strasbourg
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Auxerre
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660810 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 88.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 7.9% for the draw and 3.8% for Le Mans. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 96.2% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.7%) and 4-0 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.1% of simulations. Paris Saint Germain keep a clean sheet 55.1% of the time and Le Mans 3.7%.
The simulations average 3.99 goals: 3.39 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.60 for Le Mans. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.4% and over 3.5 goals 56%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
