We simulated Troyes vs Olympique Marseille 100,000 times. Olympique Marseille won 45,387 of them (45.4%), the draw came up 24.6% of the time and Troyes won 30%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Olympique Marseille win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 62.9% of simulations.
| Troyes win | 30% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.6% |
| Olympique Marseille win | 45.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.41 – 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 62.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.3% |
| Troyes score first | 48.3% |
| Olympique Marseille score first | 46.7% |
| Troyes clean sheet | 17.4% |
| Olympique Marseille clean sheet | 24.9% |
Lens
Olympique Lyonnais
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monaco
Toulouse
2.0–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans
3.4–0.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Brest
Angers SCO
1.6–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Paris
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Nice
Strasbourg
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Auxerre
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660807 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Olympique Marseille are favourites. They win 45.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.6% for the draw and 30% for Troyes. Including the draw, Olympique Marseille avoid defeat 70% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Olympique Marseille win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.9% of simulations. Troyes keep a clean sheet 17.4% of the time and Olympique Marseille 24.9%.
The simulations average 3.18 goals: 1.41 for Troyes and 1.77 for Olympique Marseille. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.3% and over 3.5 goals 39.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
