We simulated Nice vs Strasbourg 100,000 times. Nice won 46,349 of them (46.4%), the draw came up 25.6% of the time and Strasbourg won 28.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest Nice win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 59.2% of simulations.
| Nice win | 46.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.6% |
| Strasbourg win | 28.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 59.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.7% |
| Nice score first | 56.6% |
| Strasbourg score first | 37.4% |
| Nice clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 18.8% |
Lens
Olympique Lyonnais
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
LOSC Lille
Le Havre
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Monaco
Toulouse
2.0–1.1
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans
3.4–0.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Brest
Angers SCO
1.6–1.2
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Lorient
Paris
1.3–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Rennes
Auxerre
2.2–1.1
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Troyes
Olympique Marseille
1.4–1.8
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660808 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nice are favourites. They win 46.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.6% for the draw and 28.1% for Strasbourg. Including the draw, Nice avoid defeat 71.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Nice win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.2% of simulations. Nice keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Strasbourg 18.8%.
The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.70 for Nice and 1.28 for Strasbourg. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.8% and over 3.5 goals 34.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
