We simulated NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia 100,000 times. NEC Nijmegen won 48,801 of them (48.8%), the draw came up 25.1% of the time and Levski Sofia won 26.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.8%, while the likeliest NEC Nijmegen win is 2-1 (9.3%). Both teams score in 56.3% of simulations.
| NEC Nijmegen win | 48.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Levski Sofia win | 26.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.69 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 56.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.3% |
| NEC Nijmegen score first | 54.4% |
| Levski Sofia score first | 39% |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Levski Sofia clean sheet | 18.9% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.4–0.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684702 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
NEC Nijmegen are favourites. They win 48.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.1% for the draw and 26.1% for Levski Sofia. Including the draw, NEC Nijmegen avoid defeat 73.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest NEC Nijmegen win is 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.3% of simulations. NEC Nijmegen keep a clean sheet 31.3% of the time and Levski Sofia 18.9%.
The simulations average 2.87 goals: 1.69 for NEC Nijmegen and 1.17 for Levski Sofia. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.3% and over 3.5 goals 32.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
