We simulated Wigan Athletic vs Reading 100,000 times. Reading won 49,247 of them (49.3%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Wigan Athletic won 25.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Reading win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
| Wigan Athletic win | 25.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Reading win | 49.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.23 – 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.3% |
| Wigan Athletic score first | 36.5% |
| Reading score first | 57.7% |
| Wigan Athletic clean sheet | 17.4% |
| Reading clean sheet | 29.7% |
Mansfield Town
Oxford United
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Peterborough United
Burton Albion
1.8–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons
Luton Town
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday
AFC Wimbledon
1.9–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Barnsley
Cambridge United
1.5–1.6
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Plymouth Argyle
Huddersfield Town
1.4–1.5
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Wycombe Wanderers
Notts County
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Leyton Orient
Blackpool
1.5–1.4
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420647301 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Reading are favourites. They win 49.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 25.8% for Wigan Athletic. Including the draw, Reading avoid defeat 74.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Reading win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Wigan Athletic keep a clean sheet 17.4% of the time and Reading 29.7%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.23 for Wigan Athletic and 1.77 for Reading. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.5% and over 3.5 goals 35.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
