We simulated Abha vs Al Ittihad 100,000 times. Al Ittihad won 58,549 of them (58.6%), the draw came up 21.9% of the time and Abha won 19.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Al Ittihad win is 1-2 (9.7%). Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations.
| Abha win | 19.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.9% |
| Al Ittihad win | 58.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.04 – 1.97 |
| Both teams to score | 55.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% |
| Abha score first | 30.9% |
| Al Ittihad score first | 64% |
| Abha clean sheet | 14.3% |
| Al Ittihad clean sheet | 35.5% |
Al Khaleej
Al Hazm
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Kholood
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadsiah
0.9–2.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
NEOM SC
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Ahli
1.5–1.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Fateh
3.5–0.7
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636038 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ittihad are favourites. They win 58.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.9% for the draw and 19.5% for Abha. Including the draw, Al Ittihad avoid defeat 80.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win is 1-2 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations. Abha keep a clean sheet 14.3% of the time and Al Ittihad 35.5%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.04 for Abha and 1.97 for Al Ittihad. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
