We simulated Al Nassr vs Al Kholood 100,000 times. Al Nassr won 77,181 of them (77.2%), the draw came up 13.6% of the time and Al Kholood won 9.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and both teams score in 50.5% of simulations.
| Al Nassr win | 77.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.6% |
| Al Kholood win | 9.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 2.69 – 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 50.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.8% |
| Al Nassr score first | 72.2% |
| Al Kholood score first | 24.7% |
| Al Nassr clean sheet | 45.3% |
| Al Kholood clean sheet | 7.2% |
Al Khaleej
Al Hazm
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadsiah
0.9–2.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Ittihad
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
NEOM SC
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Ahli
1.5–1.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Fateh
3.5–0.7
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635977 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Nassr are favourites. They win 77.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.6% for the draw and 9.2% for Al Kholood. Including the draw, Al Nassr avoid defeat 90.8% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.5% of simulations. Al Nassr keep a clean sheet 45.3% of the time and Al Kholood 7.2%.
The simulations average 3.48 goals: 2.69 for Al Nassr and 0.80 for Al Kholood. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 67.1% and over 3.5 goals 45.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
