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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah 100,000 times. Al-Qadsiah won 70,714 of them (70.7%), the draw came up 17.6% of the time and Al Riyadh won 11.7%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11%), and both teams score in 52.2% of simulations.
| Al Riyadh win | 11.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.6% |
| Al-Qadsiah win | 70.7% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 0.86 – 2.39 |
| Both teams to score | 52.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.7% |
| Al Riyadh score first | 22.4% |
| Al-Qadsiah score first | 73.3% |
| Al Riyadh clean sheet | 9.6% |
| Al-Qadsiah clean sheet | 42.6% |
Al Khaleej
Al Hazm
1.5–1.2
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Kholood
2.6–0.8
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Ittihad
1.1–1.9
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
NEOM SC
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Ahli
1.5–1.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Fateh
3.6–0.7
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636032 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al-Qadsiah are favourites. They win 70.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.6% for the draw and 11.7% for Al Riyadh. Including the draw, Al-Qadsiah avoid defeat 88.3% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.2% of simulations. Al Riyadh keep a clean sheet 9.6% of the time and Al-Qadsiah 42.6%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 0.86 for Al Riyadh and 2.39 for Al-Qadsiah. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.6% and over 3.5 goals 40.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.