We simulated Al Shabab vs Al Ahli 100,000 times. Al Ahli won 45,293 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Al Shabab won 31.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest Al Ahli win is 1-2 (8.8%). Both teams score in 65.5% of simulations.
| Al Shabab win | 31.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Al Ahli win | 45.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | 65.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Al Shabab score first | 49.3% |
| Al Ahli score first | 46% |
| Al Shabab clean sheet | 16.2% |
| Al Ahli clean sheet | 22.6% |
Al Khaleej
Al Hazm
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Kholood
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadsiah
0.9–2.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Ittihad
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
NEOM SC
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Fateh
3.5–0.7
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636062 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ahli are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 31.1% for Al Shabab. Including the draw, Al Ahli avoid defeat 68.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Al Ahli win is 1-2 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.5% of simulations. Al Shabab keep a clean sheet 16.2% of the time and Al Ahli 22.6%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 1.50 for Al Shabab and 1.85 for Al Ahli. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.8% and over 3.5 goals 43%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
