We simulated Al Diraiyah FC vs NEOM SC 100,000 times. Al Diraiyah FC won 36,839 of them (36.8%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and NEOM SC won 36%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Al Diraiyah FC win is 1-0 (9.6%). Both teams score in 52.2% of simulations.
| Al Diraiyah FC win | 36.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| NEOM SC win | 36% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.29 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 52.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% |
| Al Diraiyah FC score first | 46.9% |
| NEOM SC score first | 45% |
| Al Diraiyah FC clean sheet | 28.2% |
| NEOM SC clean sheet | 27.8% |
Al Khaleej
Al Hazm
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Kholood
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadsiah
0.9–2.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Ittihad
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Ahli
1.5–1.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Fateh
3.5–0.7
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636036 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Diraiyah FC are favourites. They win 36.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 36% for NEOM SC. Including the draw, Al Diraiyah FC avoid defeat 64% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest Al Diraiyah FC win is 1-0 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.2% of simulations. Al Diraiyah FC keep a clean sheet 28.2% of the time and NEOM SC 27.8%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.29 for Al Diraiyah FC and 1.28 for NEOM SC. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.3% and over 3.5 goals 25.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
