We simulated Al Khaleej vs Al Hazm 100,000 times. Al Khaleej won 43,843 of them (43.8%), the draw came up 26% of the time and Al Hazm won 30.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.2%, while the likeliest Al Khaleej win is 1-0 (9.9%). Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations.
| Al Khaleej win | 43.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Al Hazm win | 30.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.49 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 53.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.4% |
| Al Khaleej score first | 46.1% |
| Al Hazm score first | 46.4% |
| Al Khaleej clean sheet | 30.6% |
| Al Hazm clean sheet | 22.8% |
Al Nassr
Al Kholood
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadsiah
0.9–2.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Ittihad
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
NEOM SC
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Ahli
1.5–1.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al Hilal
Al Fateh
3.5–0.7
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636045 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Khaleej are favourites. They win 43.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26% for the draw and 30.2% for Al Hazm. Including the draw, Al Khaleej avoid defeat 69.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Al Khaleej win is 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.8% of simulations. Al Khaleej keep a clean sheet 30.6% of the time and Al Hazm 22.8%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.49 for Al Khaleej and 1.19 for Al Hazm. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.2% and over 3.5 goals 28.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
