We simulated Al Hilal vs Al Fateh 100,000 times. Al Hilal won 87,114 of them (87.1%), the draw came up 8.2% of the time and Al Fateh won 4.7%. The most likely score is 3-0 (10.1%), and both teams score in 50.4% of simulations.
| Al Hilal win | 87.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 8.2% |
| Al Fateh win | 4.7% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 3.52 – 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 50.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 61.1% |
| Al Hilal score first | 81.8% |
| Al Fateh score first | 16.7% |
| Al Hilal clean sheet | 47.7% |
| Al Fateh clean sheet | 3.2% |
Al Khaleej
Al Hazm
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Al Nassr
Al Kholood
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Al Riyadh
Al-Qadsiah
0.9–2.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Ittihad
1.0–2.0
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Diraiyah FC
NEOM SC
1.3–1.3
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Al Shabab
Al Ahli
1.5–1.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Al Taawoun
Al Ettifaq
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Al-Fayha
Al Faisaly
1.3–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635972 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Hilal are favourites. They win 87.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 8.2% for the draw and 4.7% for Al Fateh. Including the draw, Al Hilal avoid defeat 95.3% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations. Al Hilal keep a clean sheet 47.7% of the time and Al Fateh 3.2%.
The simulations average 4.27 goals: 3.52 for Al Hilal and 0.74 for Al Fateh. Over 1.5 goals lands 92% of the time, over 2.5 goals 79.1% and over 3.5 goals 61.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
