We simulated Aldosivi vs Sarmiento 100,000 times. Aldosivi won 42,479 of them (42.5%), the draw came up 29.9% of the time and Sarmiento won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.8%, while the likeliest Aldosivi win is 1-0 (12.2%). Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations.
| Aldosivi win | 42.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.9% |
| Sarmiento win | 27.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 46.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Aldosivi score first | 49% |
| Sarmiento score first | 39.5% |
| Aldosivi clean sheet | 37.4% |
| Sarmiento clean sheet | 27.7% |
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1.1–0.9
xG
30%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490408 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Aldosivi are favourites. They win 42.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.9% for the draw and 27.6% for Sarmiento. Including the draw, Aldosivi avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-0 (11.3%). The likeliest Aldosivi win is 1-0 (12.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 46.2% of simulations. Aldosivi keep a clean sheet 37.4% of the time and Sarmiento 27.7%.
The simulations average 2.29 goals: 1.30 for Aldosivi and 0.99 for Sarmiento. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40% and over 3.5 goals 20%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
