We simulated River Plate vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 100,000 times. River Plate won 80,689 of them (80.7%), the draw came up 13.8% of the time and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won 5.5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (17%), and both teams score in 30.7% of simulations.
| River Plate win | 80.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.8% |
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto win | 5.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (17%) |
| Expected goals | 2.35 – 0.42 |
| Both teams to score | 30.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.4% |
| River Plate score first | 79.1% |
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto score first | 14.7% |
| River Plate clean sheet | 65.6% |
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet | 9.9% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1.1–0.9
xG
30%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490513 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
River Plate are favourites. They win 80.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.8% for the draw and 5.5% for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Including the draw, River Plate avoid defeat 94.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 17% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (15.1%) and 3-0 (13.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 30.7% of simulations. River Plate keep a clean sheet 65.6% of the time and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 9.9%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 2.35 for River Plate and 0.42 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.2% and over 3.5 goals 30.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
