We simulated Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia 100,000 times. Unión Santa Fe won 45,528 of them (45.5%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Defensa y Justicia won 27.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Unión Santa Fe win is 1-0 (11.1%). Both teams score in 50.6% of simulations.
| Unión Santa Fe win | 45.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Defensa y Justicia win | 27.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 50.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.1% |
| Unión Santa Fe score first | 52.2% |
| Defensa y Justicia score first | 38.8% |
| Unión Santa Fe clean sheet | 34.6% |
| Defensa y Justicia clean sheet | 23.5% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1.1–0.9
xG
30%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490367 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Unión Santa Fe are favourites. They win 45.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 27.2% for Defensa y Justicia. Including the draw, Unión Santa Fe avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest Unión Santa Fe win is 1-0 (11.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.6% of simulations. Unión Santa Fe keep a clean sheet 34.6% of the time and Defensa y Justicia 23.5%.
The simulations average 2.53 goals: 1.46 for Unión Santa Fe and 1.07 for Defensa y Justicia. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.4% and over 3.5 goals 25.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
