We simulated Gimnasia La Plata vs Atlético Tucumán 100,000 times. Gimnasia La Plata won 50,596 of them (50.6%), the draw came up 27.5% of the time and Atlético Tucumán won 22%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Gimnasia La Plata win is 1-0 (12%). Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations.
| Gimnasia La Plata win | 50.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Atlético Tucumán win | 22% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.1% |
| Gimnasia La Plata score first | 59.3% |
| Atlético Tucumán score first | 31.2% |
| Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet | 39.6% |
| Atlético Tucumán clean sheet | 21.6% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1.1–0.9
xG
30%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490620 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gimnasia La Plata are favourites. They win 50.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.5% for the draw and 22% for Atlético Tucumán. Including the draw, Gimnasia La Plata avoid defeat 78.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (12%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Gimnasia La Plata win is 1-0 (12%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.4% of simulations. Gimnasia La Plata keep a clean sheet 39.6% of the time and Atlético Tucumán 21.6%.
The simulations average 2.49 goals: 1.55 for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.94 for Atlético Tucumán. Over 1.5 goals lands 71.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.1% and over 3.5 goals 24.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
